msg:
Steve Jurvetson thinks this is the most important chart in technology business.
(It’s an updated version of Ray Kurzweil’s published work, posted with permission)
In this abstraction of Moore’s Law, Kurzweil plots computational power on a logarithmic scale, and finds a double exponential curve that holds over 100 years (a straight line would represent a geometrically compounding curve of progress).
In the modern era of accelerating change in the tech industry, it is hard to find even five-year trends with any predictive value, let alone trends that span the centuries.
Ray argues that through five paradigm shifts – such as electro-mechanical calculators and vacuum tube computers – the computational power that $1000 buys has doubled every two years. For the past 30 years, it has been doubling every year.
Each dot is the frontier of computational price performance of the day. One machine was used in the 1890 Census; one cracked the Nazi Enigma cipher in World War II; one predicted Eisenhower’s win in the 1956 Presidential election.Each dot represents a human drama. They did not realize that they were on a predictive curve. Each dot represents an attempt to build the best computer with the tools of the day. Of course, we use these computers to make better design software and manufacturing control algorithms. And so the progress continues.
found via my favorite flickr blogger, jurvetson
Andrew’s $0.02: This chart is most impressive for all the reasons outlined above, but I’d add that it’s wild to see which medium dominated which time period and for how long. When will we grow beyond the constraints of the Integrated Circuit (if ever)? And, how much does a newer medium pull from an older medium in terms of design paradigms?
Beck - “Sunday Morning”
An upcoming addition to Beck’s website known as Record Club will have him hopping into the studio with some friends, covering an entire classic album (without the benefit of rehearsal), and posting one song a week from the session. Lucky for us, he started with a perennial favorite, The Velvet Underground’s The Velvet Underground & Nico. The first track off the album, one we’ve posted here before, is also the first of the Record Club sessions to be released. And as obvious as it may be, this song really is my favorite song to play on a Sunday morning.
Ricardo Carvalho and Deco head for exit and reunion with Jose Mourinho | Football | The Guardian
Summer transfer season will be exciting. Kaka & Ronaldo moves will set dominos in motion.
I have a new job at Microsoft looking at the silicon eco-system. Lots of fun so far.
hapa:
A ‘bit’ laborious, but good to listen to thought process, and that innovations are out there and coming…
Whole-Building Energy Analysis through Wireless Networked Sensing (via citrisuc)
We present a real-world solution that combines three CITRIS-related technologies to accomplish this task: high-fidelity AC sensing nodes that attach easily to circuits in the building, openstandard IP-based wireless networking that simplifies installation by the electrician, and a web application tier that presents live and historical trends, tracking to goals, alerts based on energy usage and energy spending as per the building’s utility rate schedule, and open API access to data.
Image by chadmagiera via Flickr
Awesome.
Budget Airline to Charge for Toilet Use - The Lede Blog - NYTimes.com
(via heyitsnoah)
Rafer sez:
I really hope they post usage stats! And, they really oughta give a free pass for diaper changes.
(via rafer)